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When “Good Research” Produces Weak Decisions

  • Writer: Paul Peterson
    Paul Peterson
  • 1 hour ago
  • 2 min read

Most B2B research is designed to feel safe.


It prioritizes representativeness. It seeks consensus. It works hard to make sure every segment is covered, every voice counted, every finding defensible in a room full of skeptics. Those goals make sense if the primary risk you’re managing is organizational discomfort.


They make far less sense if you’re trying to decide what to build, what to cut, or where to place a meaningful bet.


Representativeness is a statistical virtue, not a decision one. It tells you where the middle of the market sits today. It does not tell you where the category is heading, which trade-offs will matter next, or which assumptions are in need of evolving. When the stakes are high, anchoring decisions to the median user often produces the most reasonable answer and the least useful one.


Consensus compounds the problem. Agreement feels like progress, especially in complex organizations. But consensus in research usually emerges by smoothing out differences rather than interrogating them. Sharp edges get sanded down. Minority perspectives get averaged away. Tension is re-framed as noise. The result is a set of findings that everyone can nod along to and no one can act on with confidence.


Coverage finishes the job. Broad samples, long questionnaires, and comprehensive dashboards create the impression of rigor. They also create distance. The more ground you try to cover, the harder it becomes to see what actually matters. Insight density drops as volume rises. You end up knowing a little about everything and nothing about the forces that should shape a decision.


None of this makes the research wrong. It just makes it poorly suited to moments that require judgment.


High-stakes decisions demand clarity around risk, not comfort around process. They require exposure to customers who can articulate trade-offs, imagine alternatives, and challenge the framing of the problem itself. These customers are rarely representative. They are rarely aligned with one another. They do not speak in averages. That is precisely why they are valuable.


When teams rely exclusively on consensus-driven, coverage-heavy research, they outsource judgment to arithmetic. The math works. The decision does not. Roadmaps drift toward the defensible. Differentiation erodes. Teams sense that something important is missing, even if they cannot point to what it is.


The alternative is not more data or louder opinions. It is more deliberate judgment about whose input should carry weight when decisions actually matter. That requires stepping away from the idea that fairness in sampling produces strength in decisions. It does not.


Strong decisions come from engaging with the right customers at the right moment, in the right way. Customers who understand the category deeply enough to see around corners. Customers who are willing to be constructively critical. Customers who care less about being counted and more about making things work better.


Most B2B research was never designed for that task. Expecting it to do that work sets teams up to fail.

 

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